In 2023, Japan's table grape commercial production was estimated at around 42.5 thousand metric tons. From 2024 to 2028, the forecasted data shows a consistent annual decline. The production is expected to drop from 37.9 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 16.41 thousand metric tons in 2028. The steepest year-on-year decrease occurs between 2027 and 2028, with a reduction rate of approximately 24.3%. Over this five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decrease rate of around 15.5%.
Key future trends to watch:
- Climate change impact on grape yield and quality.
- Technological advancements in agriculture mitigating production declines.
- Shifts in consumer preferences towards imported or alternative fruits.
- Potential government interventions or incentives for grape production sustainability.
