Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Belgium

The mortality rate due to road traffic injuries in Belgium has demonstrated a continuous decline from 7.0 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2013 to 4.4 in 2023, marking a substantial reduction. The year-on-year variation signifies an overall downward trend, with the most significant decrease observed in 2016 at -13.43% and the most recent, in 2023, at -6.38%. Over the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averaged -4.01%, indicating consistent improvement in road safety. Projections suggest this trend will persist, forecasting a 26.83% drop by 2028 and an annual average decline rate of -6.06%.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, increased infrastructure investments, and enhanced road safety policies. Monitoring these factors will be critical to sustaining and potentially accelerating the reduction in road traffic injury mortality rates in Belgium.