The incidence of Tuberculosis (Including HIV-Positive Cases) in Indonesia displayed a declining trend from 2013 to 2020, dropping from 10.0 to 6.5 cases per hundred thousand persons. The trend reversed starting in 2021, with an increase each year, reaching 9.5 in 2023. Over this period, the year-on-year variation exhibited negative growth rates until 2020, with notable increases in 2021 (24.62%) and continued positive growth through 2023 (7.95%). The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 4.56%. Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a continuing rise, projecting a CAGR of 3.61%, and a five-year growth rate of 19.42%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare interventions aimed at reducing Tuberculosis incidence and the influence of socio-economic factors that could alter the projected increase. Monitoring public health policies and treatment accessibility will be crucial in addressing these trends.
