From 2013 to 2023, Nigeria has witnessed a substantial increase in reported malaria cases, with 2023 recording 17.48 million cases. This growth showed variations in year-on-year trends, notably a significant rise in 2016 by 72.38%, followed by moderate increases through to 2023. The last five years (2018-2023) observed an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.01%, while the forecasted CAGR for the next five years (2024-2028) is 3.33%. This suggests a decelerating trend but continued overall growth by 17.77%.
Future trends to watch for:
• Potential impact of enhanced malaria control measures that could curb incidence rates.
• Medical advancements and vaccine developments targeting malaria prevention.
• Changes in government policies and funding for public health interventions.
• Effects of climate change and urbanization on malaria transmission dynamics.
