In 2023, Italy's share of scientific publications among the top 10% cited in AI was approximately 11.02%. By 2024, this figure is forecasted to slightly decline to 10.98%. The year-on-year analysis from 2024 to 2028 indicates a gradual decrease, with a year-on-year variation averaging approximately -0.4% annually. Over a 5-year period from 2024 to 2028, a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of around -0.36% is expected, showing a steady but modest decline.
Future Trends to Watch:
- Potential advances in AI research from emerging economies that could intensify global competition.
- The impact of Italy’s policies on promoting innovation and international collaboration in AI research.
- The role of private and public sectors in investing in AI and its influence on Italy’s scientific output.
