Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Human-Computer Interaction in India

The forecasted share of India's scientific publications in Human-Computer Interaction within the world's top 10% most-cited is marginally decreasing from 6.18% in 2024 and 2025 to 6.16% by 2028. In 2023, this figure stood at 6.19%. The year-on-year decline is negligible, only 0.01% annually, showcasing a plateauing trend in India's performance. The five-year CAGR reveals an average annual decrease of 0.02%, indicating stagnation post-2023.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in AI and machine learning within HCI that could influence citation rates, alongside increased international collaboration and investments impacting India's output quality and recognition.

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