In 2023, Germany's number of scientific publications in the top 10% of AI publications worldwide stood at a pivotal point, characterized by the actual numbers prior to the forecast. From 2024 onwards, a steady annual growth trajectory is expected, demonstrating a year-on-year increase in publication count: 3.65% in 2025, 3.5% in 2026, 3.36% in 2027, culminating in a 3.24% rise in 2028. Over these five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is anticipated to be approximately 3.44%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Enhanced collaboration between academia and industry, driving innovation
- Investment in AI research infrastructure, pivotal for sustained publication growth
- Global competition influencing Germany’s strategic initiatives to retain a leadership role in AI research
- The impact of emerging AI technologies on publication dynamics, potentially diversifying research areas
