The forecast for the share of corresponding or leading authors in UK scientific publications on Artificial Intelligence shows a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028. Starting from 80.61% in 2024, the share is expected to decline gradually each year, reaching 78.65% by 2028. This reflects a declining pattern, though at a moderate pace.

Year-on-year variations show that the share decreases by approximately 0.62% annually over the forecast period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady decrease annually over these years.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential shifts in research collaboration structures, including increased globalization and interdisciplinary partnerships, possibly influencing authorship dynamics.
The role of AI research funding and institutional support in the UK could impact local versus international authorship share.
Technological advancements and shifts in AI research focus areas might affect author affiliations and collaborations.