Forecast: Oil Consumption in Brazil

In 2023, oil consumption in Brazil stood at 117.12 million metric tons, showing a modest year-on-year increase of 0.99%. Over the past two years (2022 and 2023), there has been a slight upward trend, with a total growth rate of 2.96%. From 2018 to 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was 1.45%, indicating a slow but steady recovery after several years of decline. This long-term trend highlights a period of volatility with spikes and troughs, particularly from 2014 to 2020, marked by significant drops and gradual recovery phases.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Projected moderate growth with a 5-year forecasted CAGR of 0.73%, reaching 122.59 million metric tons by 2028.
  • Potential impact of global economic conditions, technological advancements in energy, and shifts towards renewable resources on oil demand.
  • Brazil’s domestic policies and infrastructure investments, which could influence the overall consumption patterns.

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