Forecast: Oil Refinery Capacities in India

In 2023, India's oil refinery capacity stood at 5.25 million barrels per day. The year-on-year variation over the last two years was +2.47% in 2022 and +2.06% in 2023, indicating a steady upwards trajectory. Over the previous five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was 1.09%. Projections suggest this trend will continue, with a forecast CAGR of 1.48% over the next five years, leading to an expected 2028 capacity of 5.76 million barrels per day, a 7.64% increase from 2023.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Emerging policies on renewable energy and their impact on refining capacity.
  • Investment trends in refinery infrastructure and technological advancements.
  • Global oil market fluctuations and their influence on domestic refinery operations.
  • Developments in alternative fuels and how they may affect long-term capacity planning.

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