The forecast for adults newly infected with HIV in Argentina shows a declining trend. As of 2023, the value stood at 4.67 thousand persons aged 15+. From 2013 to 2023, the number decreased from 5.3 thousand, reflecting a steady decline. Notably, the year-on-year variation was -0.51% between 2022 and 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years up to 2023 was -2.13%, indicating an overall reduction in new infections.
- From 2013 to 2017, the average yearly decline was modest, with occasional year-on-year drops, but not substantial.
- Starting in 2019, the rate of decline accelerated, particularly significant in 2020 and 2021 with year-on-year reductions of -3.92% and -4.08%, respectively.
- The forecast from 2024 shows a continued slight decrease, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.29% and a five-year gross reduction rate of -1.44% expected by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of public health initiatives, the availability of new treatments or preventive measures, and potential socio-economic changes influencing the spread of HIV.
