Forecast: Arable Land and Permanent Crops in Canada

The arable land and permanent crops area in Canada stood at 383.21 thousand square kilometers in 2023. Over the past decade, the land area saw a rise from 379.62 thousand square kilometers in 2013, peaking at 388.6 thousand square kilometers in 2018, followed by a gradual decline. From 2019 onwards, there has been a steady decrease, with the year-on-year variations indicating a general downtrend, particularly notable with a -1.07% drop in 2020, and a consistent decline around -0.14% from 2021 to 2023. The CAGR over the last five years shows a downward trend at -0.28%.

Forecasts suggest continued decline in the land area allocated to arable land and permanent crops, with a five-year CAGR of -0.11% and an overall reduction to 380.59 thousand square kilometers by 2028. This trend reflects a slow but consistent decrease.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • The impact of climate change on soil productivity and land suitability.
  • Shifts in agricultural practices and crop choices driven by technological advancements.
  • Government policies and initiatives aimed at sustainable and efficient land use.
  • Population growth and urbanization pressures leading to potential land-use changes.
  • Environmental conservation efforts impacting land allocation.

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