In 2023, the total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in epidemiology in China was 28.65. From 2024 to 2028, there is a projected upward trend in these publications, with quantities growing from 29.75 in 2024 to 36.56 in 2028. The forecasted year-on-year growth from 2024 to 2025 is 5.75%, while from 2025 to 2026, it is 5.43%. The anticipated Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is approximately 5.28%, indicating consistent growth in the sector.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Increased collaboration between Chinese and international epidemiological researchers, which might further boost citation rates.
- Continued investment in research and development, especially in emerging fields like digital epidemiology and pandemic preparedness.
- The impact of government policies aimed at promoting scientific research and innovation might lead to increased high-quality publications.
