Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health in Japan

In 2023, Japan's share of scientific publications among the top 10% cited in Pediatrics, Perinatology, and Child Health stood at 4.52%. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent year-on-year increase, starting from 4.57% in 2024 and reaching 4.76% by 2028. This reflects a steady annual growth trend of approximately 0.19 percentage points.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is projected to be around 0.96%. Such modest yet consistent growth indicates an increasing impact and recognition of Japan's scientific contributions in this field.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Further advances in pediatric and perinatal research could accelerate this progression.
  • Collaboration with international researchers may enhance citation impact.
  • Changes in funding and policy could influence research outputs.

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