The child mortality rate in the UK, expressed in deaths per children aged 5-14, is forecasted to decrease from 2024 to 2028, with a value of 630 in 2024 descending to 540 in 2028. The year-on-year percentage decline averages around 3% to 5%, indicating a consistent reduction in child mortality rates over the projected years. Looking back from 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period reflects a gradual decline in mortality rates.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes affecting healthcare access and advancements in medical technologies, which could further impact child mortality rates positively. Additionally, socioeconomic factors, such as increased attention to child safety and fortified nutritional programs, could play significant roles in continuing this downward trend.