The forecast for under-5 deaths in Italy shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the number of under-5 deaths stood at 900, transitioning to a forecasted 831 in 2024. The year-on-year variations show a decrease of 9.14% from 2024 to 2025, 9.54% from 2025 to 2026, 9.96% from 2026 to 2027, and 10.57% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period indicates an average annual reduction of approximately 10% in under-5 deaths.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in pediatric healthcare, improvements in maternal health, vaccination coverage, and socioeconomic factors that could further influence the mortality rate in Italy. These elements could continue to drive the downward trend, contributing to improved child survival rates.
