The forecasted data indicates a steady decrease in the number of reported measles cases in India from 2024 to 2028, moving from 7.93 thousand cases in 2024 to 1.94 thousand cases in 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decline in case numbers over this period.
The forecasted year-on-year percentage reductions are illustrated as follows:
- From 2024 to 2025, a decrease of 19.4%.
- From 2025 to 2026, a decrease of 23.7%.
- From 2026 to 2027, a decrease of 30.5%.
- From 2027 to 2028, a decrease of 42.8%.
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 stands at -25.0%, reflecting a robust decline in the number of measles cases annually.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of vaccination campaigns, potential outbreaks due to vaccine hesitancy or accessibility issues, and improvements in healthcare infrastructure, which could further influence measles incidence rates.
