The incidence of pertussis in Italy has been forecasted to remain stable at 1.6 cases per hundred thousand persons from 2024 to 2027, with a slight increase to 1.7 in 2028. This suggests a minimal year-on-year growth of 6.25% in 2028 compared to 2027, while the 5-year CAGR indicates a modest average progression. As of the end of 2023, the rate stood at approximately the same level, indicating little volatility or fluctuation in recent years.
Future trends to watch include potential changes in vaccination rates, public health policies, and any emerging strains or resistance patterns of the Bordetella pertussis bacterium, which could impact incidence rates. Continuous monitoring of global pertussis trends and collaborations for preventive measures may also play critical roles.
