From 2013 to 2023, the volume of rail freight transport in Italy exhibited fluctuations, starting at 19.04 billion tonne-kilometers and gradually increasing to 24.35 billion tonne-kilometers by 2023. The growth was marked by significant year-on-year variations, including a notable rise in 2021 (+16.93%) and modest growth in 2022 and 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 1.99% in 2023, indicating steady growth despite minor setbacks in certain years.
Looking towards the future, forecasts suggest a stable yet modest growth trajectory for rail freight transport. The volume is projected to reach 24.79 billion tonne-kilometers by 2028, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.28%. This implies a comparatively lower growth rate than the past five years.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential impact of sustainability initiatives and EU regulations on rail transport.
- Technological advancements that might enhance efficiency and capacity.
- Economic factors influencing the demand for rail freight services, such as international trade dynamics and supply chain disruptions.