Forecast: Import of Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee to China

The import of roasted decaffeinated coffee to China has demonstrated variability over the years. The volume stood at 721.66 thousand kilograms in 2023. Historical data show fluctuating year-on-year variations, such as -11.17% in 2013 and -12.67% in 2017, with periods of growth like 11.83% in 2015 and 12.84% in 2018. The CAGR over the past five years was modest at 0.25%, indicating relatively stable demand. Future projections show a positive trajectory, leading to a volume of 744.8 thousand kilograms by 2028, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.5% and a growth rate of 2.52%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • China's evolving coffee culture, potentially increasing demand for specialty coffee including decaffeinated options.
  • Trade policies and tariffs that could impact import volumes and prices.
  • Consumer health trends and preferences towards low-caffeine products.
  • Innovation in coffee products and marketing strategies targeting the Chinese market.