The demand for vegetables in Kenya has shown consistent growth from 2014 through 2023, increasing from 2.29 million metric tons to 2.97 million metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation in 2023 was 1.33%, continuing on a positive trend. Despite fluctuations, the overall CAGR over the last five years was 1.06%. The period from 2014 to 2018 saw significant growth peaking in 2017 with a 9.82% year-on-year increase. However, some years like 2016 and 2019 experienced minimal or negative growth. From 2019 onwards, the growth has been relatively steady, with minor increment variations.
Key points of interest include:
- 2023 demand stood at 2.97 million metric tons with a 1.33% year-on-year increase.
- The five-year CAGR to 2023 was 1.06%.
- Forecasted data indicates that demand will reach 3.15 million metric tons by 2028, implying a five-year forecast CAGR of 0.95%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential impact of climate change on agricultural productivity.
- Technological advancements in farming practices could enhance yield efficiency.
- Economic factors influencing consumer purchasing power and dietary habits.
- Government policies on agriculture and trade could either hinder or boost domestic vegetable demand.
