Forecast: Maternal Death Rate (Lifetime Risk) in India

The lifetime risk of maternal death in India has shown a significant rise from 2013 to 2023, increasing from 240 to 500 unit ratios. The highest year-on-year variation occurred in 2020 with a 30.56% increase, likely linked to the COVID-19 pandemic. In recent years, the rate of increase has moderated, with the growth rate at 5.04% in 2023 compared to the previous year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at 6.79%, reflecting a strong upward trend.

Forecasts indicate a continued rise through 2028, albeit at a slower CAGR of 3.42%. Key trends to monitor include healthcare accessibility, maternal health programs, and socio-economic conditions. Aligning healthcare policies to target maternal health issues could mitigate further escalation.

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