The import of asbestos to Indonesia has exhibited significant fluctuations over the years. In 2013, the volume stood at 156.05 million kilograms, followed by a notable decline in 2014 by 29.71%. The subsequent years saw minor fluctuations with a mix of small increases and decreases. By 2023, the import volume reached 115.01 million kilograms, reflecting a modest increase in recent years.
In the last two years, the year-on-year variations indicated a stable pattern with slight increases: 0.7% in 2022 and 0.68% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years is 0.92%, denoting a relatively stable trend. Looking ahead to 2028, the forecasted CAGR is 0.55%, projecting a slow but consistent growth rate of 2.79% over the next five years.
Future trends to watch for include regulatory changes and global market dynamics that could impact the import volumes. Environmental and health regulations might lead to a decline in asbestos use, whereas demand from industrial sectors could maintain or increase import levels. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for accurate future forecasting.
