As of 2023, Brazil's share of scientific publications in the world's top 10% cited in pollution stood at 4.55%. The forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual decline from 4.51% to 4.41%, marking a negative trend. The year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2025 is 0.67%, and the trend continues similarly for the subsequent years, averaging an annual decline of approximately 0.56% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential shifts in research focus or funding that could impact publication rates.
International collaboration efforts which may enhance the citation impact.
Policy changes within Brazil that could affect scientific research and publication productivity.