The share of top-cited scientific publications in pollution from the US is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 6.1% in 2024 and decreasing to 4.53% by 2028. Comparatively, this represents a noticeable reduction from the previous year (2023). The average annual decline (CAGR) for the period forecasted is concerning, indicating a diminishing impact of US research within the global scientific community.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts in funding priorities, changes in international collaboration patterns, and the influence of emerging research technologies that could alter the trajectory of US contributions to high-impact pollution research.
