Forecast: Number of Incident Tuberculosis Cases in Canada

In 2023, the number of incident tuberculosis cases in Canada was slightly below 2.21 thousand. Forecasts suggest a steady increase from 2024 through 2028, with cases rising incrementally, reaching approximately 2.28 thousand by 2028. Year-on-year growth rates show minimal increases, averaging around 0.5% annually. This consistent growth results in a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of public health interventions aimed at reducing tuberculosis transmission.
  • Changes in immigration patterns, which may influence incidence rates.
  • The potential influence of new diagnostic and treatment technologies.

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