In 2023, the number of notified tuberculosis cases in Japan stood at approximately 14.4 thousand. The forecast data for 2024 onwards suggests a consistent decrease in the number of cases, from 13.77 thousand in 2024 to 11.51 thousand by 2028. Over the past few years, this marks a continued trend of declining incidence. The year-on-year variation reflects a steady decline, averaging a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -4.8% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

Advancements in medical technology and healthcare infrastructure.
Implementation of public health initiatives targeting tuberculosis prevention.
Potential socio-economic factors that could affect healthcare access and tuberculosis control.