In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pediatrics, perinatology, and child health in Italy was at a high level, which aligns with the projections from 2024 to 2028, showing a subtle decline from 94.61% to 94.1%. This indicates a gradual decrease in the proportion of corresponding authors contributing to publications in this field over the forecasted period.
The year-on-year declines from 2024 to 2028 are marginal, but consistent. The predicted Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period reflects a modest annual reduction. This suggests potential changes in authorship dynamics or collaborative practices.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Shifts in collaborative authorship that could impact the proportion of first and corresponding authors.
- Policy or funding changes affecting research outputs and authorship norms.
- Technological advances that may either foster international collaborations or highlight individual contributions.
