Forecast: Number of Incident Tuberculosis Cases (Including HIV-Positive Cases) in the US

The forecasted incident tuberculosis cases in the US show a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028, decreasing from 371 cases in 2024 to 331 cases by 2028. Compared to 2023, which had 382 cases, the trend indicates a positive outlook with a gradual reduction in cases. Notably, the year-on-year percentage decrease is relatively steady, signaling effective control measures. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests a continuous downward trend.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of new tuberculosis prevention strategies and the interplay between tuberculosis and HIV management programs. Staying alert to potential socio-economic factors and public health policy changes will be crucial in mitigating the incidence of tuberculosis.

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