As of 2023, the incidence of Tuberculosis (including HIV-positive cases) in Italy stood at an unknown value, but forecasts predict a declining trend over the next five years. The projected figures are 310 cases per hundred persons in 2024, reducing gradually to 250 by 2028. This indicates a year-on-year percentage decrease from 2024 onwards. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period suggests an average annual decline in incidence rates.

Future trends to watch for:

Innovation in medical technology and preventive healthcare strategies could accelerate the decline.
Global travel patterns and immigration could influence TB incidence rates.
Public health policies targeting HIV-positive populations will remain crucial in reducing tuberculosis incidences.