In 2023, the number of mumps cases in the US stood at approximately 8.40 thousand. Forecasts for the next five years predict a gradual rise, reaching 10.2 thousand cases by 2028. Meanwhile, the year-on-year growth rates are expected to be 4.4% in 2024, 4.3% in 2025, 3.9% in 2026, 3.9% in 2027, and 3.5% in 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected at 4.0%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of vaccination campaigns on mumps incidence, changes in public health policies, and potential virus mutations that could influence the effectiveness of existing vaccines. Additionally, monitoring the healthcare system's response to rising case numbers will be crucial.
