The forecast for mortality caused by road traffic injury in Japan shows a declining trend from 2.4 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2024 to 1.4 in 2028. This steady decrease represents a significant improvement over the next five years. The year-on-year percentage variations indicate a 12.5% decrease from 2024 to 2025, 9.5% from 2025 to 2026, 10.5% from 2026 to 2027, and 17.6% from 2027 to 2028. When considering the compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the average annual reduction in mortality over the five-year period is approximately 12.47%.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, improvements in road infrastructure, rigorous enforcement of traffic laws, and increased public awareness about road safety. These factors are likely to further accelerate the decline in road traffic injury mortality rates.