In 2023, the actual pears production in Japan was 203.5 thousand metric tons. The forecast for 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decline in production levels, from 197.89 to 174.43 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year decreases from 2024 to 2028 are approximately 3%, 3.1%, 3.1%, and 3.2% respectively, signaling a steady downward trend. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average yearly decrease of about 3% over these five years. This decline points to significant challenges in the production environment.
Key future trends to watch for include technological advancements in agricultural practices that may reverse trends, potential shifts in domestic and international demand, as well as the impact of environmental changes on pear cultivation in Japan.
