Forecast: Wheat Market Size Volume in Nigeria

The wheat market size in Nigeria reached 5.12 million metric tons in 2023. Over the past decade, the market has demonstrated variable growth rates, including significant fluctuations. The year-on-year variations from 2022 to 2023 showed a modest increase of 0.67%. The long-term trend shows an average annual growth rate of around 0.45% over the past five years.

Key variations:

• From 2014 to 2023, the market grew from 4.57 to 5.12 million metric tons with notable year-on-year increases and decreases, reflecting market volatility. • Noteworthy is the sharp decline in 2020 (-4.31%), followed by a recovery in 2021 (6%), stabilizing around a CAGR of 0.45% by 2023. • Forecasted growth indicates a steady increase with a 5-year CAGR of 0.53%, expecting the market to reach 5.29 million metric tons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

• Increased domestic production capacities and technological advancements. • Changes in import and export policies. • Climate change impacts on agricultural productivity. • Evolving consumer preferences and dietary trends.

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