In 2023, the import of pears to the US was recorded at 69.5 thousand metric tons. The forecast for 2024 suggests a slight decline to 69.2 thousand metric tons, with a gradual year-on-year decrease projected through 2028. Specifically, the imports are expected to decline by approximately 0.64% per year from 2024 to 2028, with the largest observed decline being 0.62% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these forecasted years is projected to be approximately -0.62%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative fruits due to health trends or dietary changes.
The impact of trade policies and tariffs that could alter the cost dynamics and availability of pear imports.
Climate change and its effect on global pear production and supply chain stability.