As of 2023, U.S. fresh strawberry production was reported at 1.75 billion pounds. From 2024, forecasts suggest a decline in production, starting at 1.72 billion pounds and decreasing annually to 1.62 billion pounds by 2028. Year-on-year percentage variations exhibit a consistent downward trend: a decrease of 1.2% from 2024 to 2025, 1.8% from 2025 to 2026, 1.2% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.8% from 2027 to 2028. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a decline of approximately 1.51% per year.
Future trends to watch:
- Potential impacts of climate change on strawberry yield and quality.
- Advancements in agricultural technology that may mitigate production declines.
- Changing consumer preferences and how they might influence demand.
- Trade policies that could affect import/export balances and domestic market dynamics.