The production of fresh Atlantic mackerel in Italian capture fisheries is projected to decrease significantly from 2024 to 2028. This forecast shows a steep year-on-year decline, with production decreasing by 21% from 2024 to 2025, followed by a 25.7% decline from 2025 to 2026, 33.3% from 2026 to 2027, and 48% from 2027 to 2028. This trend suggests a concerning contraction, as the five-year CAGR stands at -30.4%. Production in 2023 was higher than forecasted values, likely over 321.7 metric tons.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in fishing regulations or marine environmental policies that may impact production.
- Market adaptations, including increased demand for alternative fish species due to reduced mackerel availability.
- Technological advancements in fishing practices that might buffer the decline in the longer term.
