The forecast for air pollution-related total tax revenue in Germany shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. It starts at 3.17 in 2024 and decreases gradually to 2.67 in 2028. Compared to the previous year, the year-on-year decreases range at approximately 4% from 2024 to 2025, and continue with similar momentum annually. Calculating the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), we see an average decline of around 3.5% over these five years.
Future trends to watch for include increasing environmental regulations which could accelerate the decrease in pollution-related tax revenues, or alternatively, shifts in energy use and production methods that could stabilize or change the trajectory of these revenues.
