In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in ophthalmology in Italy was 91.02%. The forecast shows a gradual decline: 90.71% in 2024, 90.41% in 2025, 90.11% in 2026, 89.81% in 2027, and 89.52% in 2028.

The year-on-year analysis reveals a consistent decrease of approximately 0.30% annually. Over the past five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual reduction, rendering a picture of gradual decline in the leading authorship shares.

Future trends to monitor include:

The impact of increasing international collaborations, potentially affecting local authorship shares.
Technological advancements in ophthalmology widening author bases across nations.
Policy changes in publication and funding favoring diverse authorship and impacting local lead authorship.