Forecast: Hydro Power Gross Available Energy in Denmark

The gross available energy from hydro power in Denmark, measured in thousand tonnes of oil equivalent, peaked at 1.66 in 2016. Since then, there has been a fluctuating downward trend, with the value standing at 1.29 in 2023. Over the last two years (2022-2023), there has been a small decline, with year-on-year variations of -5.64% in 2022 and -2.8% in 2023. Over the last five years (2018-2023), the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been slightly positive at 0.11%, showing a generally stable trend with minor fluctuations.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data suggests a continuous decline, with a five-year CAGR forecasted at -2.4%, leading to an 11.45% reduction by 2028. By then, the gross available energy is expected to be around 1.11 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Technological advancements in hydroelectric power generation

• Potential regulatory changes impacting renewable energy sources

• Climate change impacts on water resources affecting hydro power capacity

• Shifts in energy policy or investment focus towards other renewable sources like wind or solar

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