Forecast: Influenza Mortality in Canada

In 2023, the standardized mortality rate for influenza in Canada stood at 4.1 male deaths per 100,000 men. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 show a gradual increase each year by 0.1 units, starting at 4.2 in 2024 to 4.6 in 2028, indicating a consistent, modest upward trend.

  • Year-on-year variation shows an increase of approximately 2.38% from 2024 to 2025, and this trend is set to continue with slight increases annually.
  • The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is around 1.18%, indicating a small but notable rise in mortality rates in this period.

Looking ahead, factors that could influence these trends include potential advancements in vaccination coverage, the emergence of new influenza strains, and changes in healthcare access and quality. Monitoring public health policies and influenza variant evolution will be crucial.

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