The forecast for pneumonia mortality in Canada among females indicates a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the standardised rate was 11.6 deaths per 100,000 women. Starting at 11.3 in 2024, the mortality rate is expected to decrease year-on-year by approximately 3.5% on average, reaching 9.9 in 2028. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about -3.8% over the forecasted period.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare advancements, vaccination coverage, climate change effects on respiratory illnesses, and potential new health policies. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for maintaining or accelerating the declining mortality trend.