Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pollution in the UK

The share of UK scientific publications in pollution recognized among the world's top 10% cited had shown an actual standing of 15.1% in 2023. Future forecasts indicate a steady increase from 15.2% in 2024 to 15.26% by 2028. The year-on-year percentage change remains modest, reflecting a stable and consistent trajectory conducive to strategic planning. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this forecast period suggests a subdued yet positive trend, indicating incremental improvements.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Innovation in pollution research, particularly in the context of climate change and rising environmental concerns.
  • The impact of government policies and international collaboration on research quality and citation rates.
  • The role of digitalization and data analytics in enhancing the visibility and citation of scientific research.

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