The production of whole fresh European lobster in capture fisheries in the Netherlands has shown significant volatility from 2013 to 2023. Starting from 35.1 metric tons in 2013, it rose to a peak of 44.1 metric tons in 2015, then saw a sharp decline to 15.1 metric tons in 2016. Subsequent years maintained a downward trend, reaching 10.01 metric tons in 2020. Despite a brief uptick to 13.4 metric tons in 2022, the production again dipped slightly to 13.01 metric tons in 2023. The overall trend over these years results in a 0.95% CAGR for the last five years with substantial fluctuations year-on-year.
From 2024 onward, forecasted data indicates a continuing decline in production, with a projected decrease to 8.36 metric tons by 2028, suggesting a negative 5-year CAGR of -7.1% and an overall 30.79% drop in production volume.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change, regulatory changes within the EU fisheries policies, and market demand shifts which could either alleviate or exacerbate the declining trend.
