Forecast: Air Transport Gross Value Added in the US

The Air Transport Gross Value Added (GVA) in the U.S., expressed in Billion US Dollars, experienced significant fluctuations over the last decade. Following a steady growth from 2013 to 2019, the sector was severely impacted in 2020 by a 59.15% drop due to the COVID-19 pandemic, reaching $49.54 billion. Recovery began in 2021 with a 36.18% increase. The GVA rebounded sharply by 65.34% in 2022, and in 2023, it stood at $131.72 billion, marking an 18.09% growth from 2022.

From 2019 to 2023, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was 3.15%. Future forecasts indicate a moderate growth rate of 2.78% CAGR from 2023 to 2028. The sector is expected to reach $157.03 billion by 2028, reflecting a 14.72% growth over this period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in air transport such as sustainable aviation fuels and electric aircraft.
  • Potential impact of regulatory changes related to carbon emissions and environmental sustainability.
  • Continued recovery and growth in passenger and cargo volumes post-pandemic.
  • Shifts in global economic conditions and their effects on air transport demand.
  • Emerging market opportunities and potential geopolitical shifts influencing international aviation routes.

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