Forecast: Imports of Hard Coal in France

France's imports of hard coal have experienced a significant decline over the past decade. In 2013, the volume stood at 18.23 million metric tons, decreasing steadily to 7.4 million metric tons in 2023. The most notable drops were seen in 2014 (23.37% decrease from 2013) and 2020 (30.25% decrease from 2019). However, a slight rebound occurred in 2021 with an 8.87% increase, followed by marginal growth in 2022 (0.42%). The last two years saw a moderate decline, with a 5.29% decrease in 2023. The average annual variation in the last five years (CAGR) was -11.16%.

Future forecasts predict a continued decline, with the volume expected to fall to approximately 5.85 million metric tons by 2028. This represents a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -3.74% and a total decrease of 17.35% from 2023 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • France's energy transition policies focusing on renewable energy sources.
  • Potential shifts in global coal markets and availability.
  • Changes in domestic energy demand and industrial activity.

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