The data indicates a steady decline in HIV incidence in Mexico from 2013 to 2023, with values moving from 0.27 to 0.22. Notably, there was no change from 2013 to 2015, but significant decreases were observed afterward. In recent years, the incidence rate decreased by 4.35% from 2021 to 2022 and remained stable in 2023. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -2.52% underscores the gradual reduction in incidence rates. Looking forward, the forecasted data for 2024 and beyond predicts a continuous decline, with a projected CAGR of -1.98% over the next five years, reaching 0.19 in 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Effectiveness of new prevention programs and healthcare policies.
- Implementation and impact of educational campaigns on HIV prevention.
- Potential changes in socio-economic factors influencing the HIV incidence rate.
