The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pollution in France is projected to decline from 81.91% in 2024 to 79.59% in 2028. Prior to this forecast period, in 2023, the share stood at a slightly higher rate. This signifies a gradual downward trend with a year-on-year reduction averaging around 0.6% to 0.7%. Over the five-year forecast period, this declining trend represents a CAGR of approximately -0.7%, signaling a consistent decrease in the prominence or recognition of leading authors within these scientific works.

Future trends to watch for include:

Impact of international collaborations which might redistribute authorship roles.
Increasing adoption of multi-disciplinary approaches that could influence authorship dynamics.
Policy changes and funding distribution which might incentivize shifts in publication practices.