In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications concerning pollution in the US was approximately 85.5%. Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a declining trend, with a gradual decrease from 84.64% in 2024 to 80.96% in 2028. The year-on-year decrease is approximately 1% from 2024 onwards, with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicating a steady decline over these five years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in authorship dynamics due to increasing collaboration across institutions and sectors.
- The impact of funding and policy changes on research priorities and authorship distribution.