Whole milk production in Italy experienced a general progressive decline from 2013 to 2023, starting at 1.11 million metric tons in 2013 and decreasing to 1.02 million metric tons in 2023. The production saw occasional minor upticks, such as in 2019 and 2021, but the overall trend remained downward. Year-on-year variations fluctuated, with the highest being in 2021 at 1.88% and the lowest in 2020 at -1.8%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -0.24%. Looking forward, the forecast indicates that production will continue to decline, with an expected volume of 0.95845 million metric tons by 2028 and a 5-year forecast CAGR of -1%.
Future trends to watch for include changes in consumer preferences towards alternative milk products, potential impacts of climate change on dairy farming, and any significant policy changes by the Italian government or the European Union that might affect dairy production. It will also be crucial to monitor technological advancements in dairy farming that could influence production efficiencies.
